HOW IT WORKS
Where prediction markets only let you bet on an outcome, conditional markets let you trade the impact of an outcome on an underlying asset the same way you trade futures.
STEP 1
CHOOSE A MARKET
Choose a metric or market you think will be impacted by the election, such as GDP, BTC, inflation, oil, and more.
STEP 2
TRADE THE IMPACT
Decide what you think the impact should be. This will make a long and a short trade in each probable reality.
STEP 3
CLOSE TRADE ANY MOMENT
Close your trades at any point. Profits from each trade in each probable reality are kept separated.
STEP 4
CONVERT PROFITS
Convert your profits back to USD or wait for the election result. The conversion rate is the probability of each candidate winning.
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FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS
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